NASCAR Dover Betting – Go With The Older Busch at Dover

After you bet on Preakness Stakes on Saturday, check out the Autism Speaks 400 at Dover International Speedway, also known as the “Monster Mile”. Jimmie Johnson romped to a Dover sweep last year, and he’ll be one of the contenders again, but another driver will get his first win at the concrete jungle.

NASCAR Dover Betting – Sunday, May 16, 1:00 PM ET

Jimmie Johnson (+400): Johnson led 569 of 800 laps at Dover in his dominating sweep of last year, but he’s going to have to find something soon as the No.48 team has struggled since the spoiler replaced the rear wing on the Sprint Cup car at Martinsville, and he’s finished outside the top 30 in two of his last three races.

Denny Hamlin (+800): Someone who isn’t complaining about the spoiler is Hamlin, who has won three of the six races since the spoiler came into play, including last week at Darlington. Hamlin doesn’t have a good track record at Dover with two top-10s in eight trips here, but the No.20 team seems to have the spoiler figured out.

Kurt Busch (+1200): Busch has three top-10s in his last four starts, and he already has a win from Atlanta earlier this year. The No.2 driver has six top-10s in 19 trips to Dover, but he also has five DNFs, which is risky. His younger brother Kyle has better odds (and arguably a better car under him as he is a teammate of Hamlin’s at Joe Gibbs Racing), but Kurt is the play here.

Matt Kenseth (+1500): Taking Kenseth’s odds is like taking Germany’s soccer betting odds in the World Cup: he’s won a championship before, and he’s consistent enough that you can’t count him out. He has two straight 13th-place finishes, he finished in the top five of both Dover races in 2009, and he has 14 top-10s in 22 trips here, including a win in the 2006 spring race.

Ryan Newman (+2500): Newman picked up his second top-10 in a row last week at Darlington, and he has 10 top-10s in 16 Dover races, including eighth and 10th-place results last year. Newman also swept the 2003 races at the “Monster Mile”, and he took the checkered flag in the 2004 fall race, so he knows how to get around this track.

Pick: The spoiler has changed things in the Sprint Cup series, and a handful of teams have found an edge. Kurt Busch started off slow with the change, but they’re catching on, and the No.2 team was a weekly threat to win prior to the spoiler being added to the car. With a pair of top-5s under his belt from last year’s Dover races, so with Kurt Busch in your betting picks.


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