The Cavs upset of previously unbeaten Georgia Tech puts them in prime ‘Brilliant Disguise’ mode this afternoon in Charlottesville reminds us to play against any college football betting favorite who won SU as an underdog against a 5-0 or better opponent in their last game.
A 4-21 ATS tightener to this system ties in nicely to NC State and Tom O’Brien’s 17-4 ATS log versus an opponent off a SU dog win compliments the Boss’ tune.
The veteran head coach is also a well-prepared 13-5 ATS as a dog with rest and we’ll need to lean on that to offset a not-so cozy 0-5 ‘ITS’ record this season. We can also rely on a series history that shows the Wahoos just 2-3 SU in these meetings since 2001 with those wins coming by a combined 12 points (5,7).
In fact, the last time that Virginia laid this many points to the Pack (1998), then-President Bill Clinton was ‘not having sexual relations’ with Monica Lewinsky and the cost of a gallon of gas was $1.15! Like Hillary’s husband, you can lay it if you want but we say take what you can get and ‘know just what you’ve got in this new thing you’ve found.’
To us the 4-2 Cavaliers, with close wins over pathetic Indiana (3 points) and Idaho (1 point), are nothing more than a ‘Brilliant Disguise.’
Free Betting Pick: Virginia over NC State by 1
The Cavaliers are listed as 5½-point favorites against the Wolfpack, while the game's total is sitting at 52.
North Carolina State most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 5-5
Virginia most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 2-8